EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON THE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF QUOTED CONSUMER GOODS MANUFACTURING FIRMS IN NIGERIA

Authors

  • Adie Ferdinand Atsu Nasarawa State University, Keffi Author
  • Odonye, Dauda Yusuf Department of Public Administration, Nasarawa State University, Keffi Author

Keywords:

Effect, Monetary Policy, Financial Performance, Consumer Goods Manufacturing Firms

Abstract

Consumer goods manufacturing companies constitute a large part of the real sector of the Nigerian economy. Most of their inputs are subjected to volatile foreign exchange markets and ever-rising inflation, both of which are determined by monetary policy manipulation. This study examined the effect of monetary policy on the financial performance of quoted consumer goods manufacturing firms in Nigeria. Focusing on the monetary policy variables such as Money Supply (MSP), Interest Rate (INTR), Exchange Rate (EXCR), and Inflation Rate (IFR), while the financial performance aspect was proxied by Return on Assets (ROA). The study used an ex-post facto research design and obtained secondary time series and cross-sectional (TSCS) panel data of the twenty-one (21) quoted consumer goods manufacturing firms in Nigeria for the years 2014 to 2024. With the aid of E-Views 12.0, the data were subjected to multiple regression analysis using the Cross-section random Panel Least Squares (PLS) technique. The study revealed that Interest rate and Exchange Rate (EXCR) have a significant effect on the financial performance of quoted consumer goods manufacturing firms in Nigeria while money supply and inflation rate have insignificant effects. Also, while money supply and inflation rate have a positive effect on the financial performance of quoted consumer goods manufacturing firms in Nigeria, interest rate and exchange rate have negative effects. Based on these findings, the study concluded that interest rates (INTR) and  Exchange Rate (EXCR) emerge as significant and influential factors affecting the financial performance of these firms. The strong negative relationship between interest rates and Return on Assets (ROA) underscores the sensitivity of these companies to changes in borrowing costs and consumer spending patterns influenced by interest rate fluctuations. Based on the conclusions it was recommended that firms should explore financial instruments such as interest rate swaps or forward rate agreements to hedge against interest rate fluctuations if return on assets is anything to come by.

Author Biographies

  • Adie Ferdinand Atsu, Nasarawa State University, Keffi

    Department of Public Administration, Nasarawa State University, Keffi

    Phone: +2348131974444

  • Odonye, Dauda Yusuf, Department of Public Administration, Nasarawa State University, Keffi

    Department of Public Administration, Nasarawa State University, Keffi

References

Adefeso, J. F. & Mobolaji, F. D. (2021). Impact of exchange rate on the manufacturing sector in Nigeria. International Journal of Mechanical Engineering and Technology (IJMET), 10(2), 1568-1583.

Adebiyi, M. A. (2005), “Capital Market Performance and the Nigerian Economic Growth.” In Issues in Money, Finance and Economic Management in Nigeria – Essays in Honour of Professor ObasanmiOlakanpo, Edited.

Asogu A. O. (2023). Interest rate and manufacturing sector output in Nigeria (1998-2018). 4(3

Adidu, P. K, , & Olanye, B. O.(2016). Monetary policy and economic growth in Nigeria: A critical evaluation. IOSR Journal of Business and Management, 17(2), 110-119.

Ahuja, H. L. (2010). Macroeconomics Theory and Policy, 7th Revised Edition.

Ajakaiye, B. A. (2001). Macroeconomic effects on firms’ performance in the consumer goods sector in Nigeria.

Ajisafe, A. & Folorunsho, A. (2022). Impact of monetary policy on financial performance in Nigeria. Open access library journal, 5(e4320)

Anochiwa, U. C. & Maduka, M. K. (2015). Macroeconomic variables and productivity of Nigeria’s manufacturing sector. Nigerian Journal of Management Sciences, 24(1a).

Anyawu, P. E., Aslan, E., Karayalcin, C., & Kucukkale, Y. (2017). Money supply and financial performance nexus in Turkey: An empirical investigation. Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1), 1-15.

Austine, E. N., Kingsley, E., James, B., & Ndatsu, I. (2022). Impact Of Monetary Policy On Manufacturing Sector Performance In Nigeria.

Ayinde, A. F., Elgin, C., Ozturk, I., & Acaravci, A. (2010). Monetary policy and financial performance: An empirical analysis for Turkey. Journal of Policy Modeling, 41(4), 798-814.

Brgham, M., & Houston, A. (2018). Exchange rate volatility and economic growth. Journal of Economic Studies, 31(3), 216-227.

Bernanke, B.S. & Gerters, A.S. (2015) “The Federal Funds Rate and the channels of Monetary Transmission” American Economic Review, 82, 901-902.

Bryan, B. (2022). US inflation rate hits 39-year high of 7% as economy continues to rebound from pandemic. Business Insider. Error! Hyperlink reference not valid. European Central Bank. (2021, December 17). Euro area annual inflation rate at 4.9%.

Central Bank of Nigeria (2023). Monetary Policy Review, CBN, Abuja

Central Bank of Nigeria (2018). Monetary Policy Review, CBN, Abuja

Chaudhry, R., Charity, A. E., Patrick, I. O., Emmanuel, Y. A., Kehinde, O. L., & Ojonugwa, A. (2015). Exchange rate management and performance of Nigerian manufacturing firms. Academy of Entrepreneurship Journal, 25(4), 1-12.

European Central Bank (2021). Effect of Economic Variables on the Financial Performance of Listed Firms Manufacturing Consumers Goods in Nigeria. Universal Journal of Accounting and Finance 9 (6). 1235, 1246, 1235-1246.

El-Seoud, C. C. (2024. Impact of monetary policy on the growth of the Nigerian manufacturing sector (2014-202024). International Journal of Scientific & Engineering Research, 9(9), 1888-1900.

Ellen, J. C., Bangake, C., Yaqoob, M. A., Shahzad, U., & Kamal, A. (2018). Interest rates and financial performance in Africa: A panel threshold analysis. Research in International Business and Finance, 57,101429.

Folawewo, E. F. & Osinubi, Y. (2006), Does monetary policy influence economic growth in Nigeria? Asian economic and financial review, 3,(5) 635-646.

Fisher, S. (2005). The role of macroeconomic factors in growth. Journal of monetary economics, 32(3), 485-512.

Fagbemi, J. A. (2006). Experience of and lessons from exchange rate regimes in emerging economies. NBER Working Paper No. 11199.

Fry, M. & Mathieson, D. Y. (2020), “The Quantity Theory of Money – A Restatement,” Reprinted from Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money, University of Chicago Press.

Gitman, E. N., & Zutter, F. L. (2015). Exchange rate volatility and equity markets in the United States. Journal of Economics and Finance, 25(2), 203-214.

Habib, A., Hassan, M. S., & Ahmed, Z. (2017). The impact of money supply on financial performance in Pakistan: An empirical analysis. Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, 23(4), 473-496.

Jalees, M. A. (2022) Macroeconomics: Theory and Policy; Mindex Publishing; Revised Edition. Journal of Applied Economics and Business Research, 3(1), 22-36.

Levine, F., P. (2017). The Interest Rate-Growth Relationship: Evidence from Advanced Economies. IMF Working Paper, WP/21/82.

Lawal, A. I. (2016). Impact of macroeconomic variables on the Nigerian manufacturing sector. Cogent Economics & Finance, 10(1), 2090664.

Mankiw, N. G. (2020). Principles of macroeconomics. Cengage Learning.

Mordi, A. C.(2016).Interest rate Definition; https://study.com/academy/lesson/ what-isinterest-rate-definition-types- history.html

McKinnon, O. M. (2023), “The Lending Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission in Nigeria; Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Verification,” Central Bank of Nigeria; Economic and Financial Review.45/1 March.

Mishkin, F. S., Frederic, M., Moses, T. Y. & Yaro, D. (2018), The Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets. Eight Edition. Pearson Addison Wesley. New York.

McConnell, Q. & Brue, F. (2005). Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(3), 276-282.

Nwangi, G. (2017). Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Financial Perfomance of Insurance Companies in Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, United States International University-Africa).

Nnanna, O.J. (2021), Monetary Policy Framework in Africa-The Nigerian Experience. Paper Presented at the 2001 South African Reserve Bank Conference.

Nneka, C. A. B. (2012). Investigating the performance of monetary policy on manufacturing sector in Nigeria: 1980-2009. Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review (OMAN Chapter), 2(1), 12.

Nkoro, S. O. (2015). Macroeconomic variables and the productivity of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria: A static analysis approach.

Oganmugiwa, M. O., & Ekone, E. E. (2020). The Impact of Exchange Rate on Financial performance in Nigeria. Asian Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting, 21(2), 20- 31.

Odedokun, E. U. (2017). Effect of exchange rate fluctuation on firm profitability: Evidence from selected quoted conglomerates in Nigeria. Available at SSRN 3461137.

Onanuga, O. N. & Shittu, E. F. (2020). Monetary policy and the manufacturing sector in Nigeria. SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies (SSRG-IJEMS), 2(1), 17-25.

Owolabi, O. A. (2017). Money supply and financial performance in Nigeria: Evidence from ARDL approach. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9(1), 1932166.

Obansa, A. B., Ogundajo, G. O., & Johnson, B. S. (2013). Monetary policy and the sustainability of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria. Review of Innovation and Competitiveness: A Journal of Economic and Social Research, 3(4), 71-88.

Obanuyi M. I. (2009). Effect of Interest Rate on The Growth of Manufacturing Sector in Nigeria.Journal of Social Research and Behavioral Sciences ISSN:2149-178X 281

Orbunde, B., Lambe, I., & Anyanwu, N. (2021). Impact of Interest Rate on the Financial Performance of Listed Manufacturing Companies in Nigeria.

Palepu, T. I. & Chaudhry, R. (2008). From Keynesianism to neoliberalism: shifting paradigms in economics. Review of Political Economy, 28(1), 113-131.

Patricia, J. A. (2023). The impact of interest rate on financial performance in Ghana. Journal of Public Affairs, e2311.

Rasheed, M. M. (2020). The Effect of Money Supply on Economic Growth in Bangladesh: An Empirical Analysis. International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management, 9(4), 81-99.

Reuters. B. (2022). Brazil 2021 inflation hits 31-year high of 10.67%. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/business/brazil-2021-inflation-hits-31-year-high- 1067-2022-01-12/

Richard, D. H. (2012). Are central bank balance sheets in Asia too large?. Journal of Macroeconomics, 52, 71-87.

Santos, J. M., Barros, C. P., & Machado, L. (2021). Covid-19: Impact on supply chains and effects on inflation. Journal of International Management, 27(4), 100828.

Shaw, I. A.(2023). Effects of monetary policy measures on Nigeria’s financial performance. Journal on banking financial services & insurance research.11(5), ISSN:(2231-4288) www.skirec.org.

The Economic Times (2021). The impact of money supply on financial performance in Egypt. Journal of Economics and Political Economy, 4(3), 354-369.

Todaro, B. S. (2004), “Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Prices in the Emerging Cypriot Equity Market”, Managerial Finance 29(4), pp.87-92

Umaru, U. M. & Zubairu, M. S. (2022). The impact of money supply on financial performance in Bangladesh: A vector error correction approach. Journal of Economic Structures, 9(1), 1-16.

Zeitun, X., Yaqoob, M. A., Shahzad, U., & Kamal, A. (2017), “Stock prices, inflation and output: Evidence from China,” Applied Economics.

Zhang, Z., & Liu, N. U. (2021). Inflation, Interest rate and firms’ performance: the evidences from textile industry of Pakistan. International Journal of Arts and Commerce, 4(2), 111-115.

Downloads

Published

2025-04-10

How to Cite

EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON THE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF QUOTED CONSUMER GOODS MANUFACTURING FIRMS IN NIGERIA. (2025). Impact International Journals and Publications, 1(issue 2), 19-37. https://impactinternationaljournals.com/publications/index.php/ojs/article/view/17

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Similar Articles

1-10 of 153

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.